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Loan Modifications Take Back Seat Due To Unemployment
The big news in town is that the American economy is growing. As Obama reported on Monday “Our economy is growing again for the first time in more than a year”. This is good news for a president that has been hard hit by the economy and whose dream public approval ratings have dropped with the economy. However Obama added: “ We cannot sit back and be satisfied given the extraordinarily high unemployment levels that we have seen”.
The U.S unemployment levels are currently at a 26 year high of 10.2 percent. This percentage reflects a 10.2 percent of people that can and want to work that are currently unemployed. For other industrialized countries like France, Germany, Spain or Norway that level is not good but is far from terrible. For countries like France 10.2 is actually close to business as usual. Of course these countries have a completely different economy that allows for or even creates high unemployment levels. The U.S however is not ready or willing to withstand such levels and needs to change for any lasting improvement to occur with mortgages or the economy as a whole.
The current growth in the economy is according to Obama (and his many economy advisors) a result of cost-cutting across the board that has generated a surge in U.S productivity. Unfortunately this increase has not led to hiring, business seemed to be happy to sit on the rise of productivity for now.
The question is if this surge will continue and help the U.S mortgage crisis. Over 1 in 7 homeowners is foreclosing on his home or over 30 days behind on payments. This number will only increase if unemployment does not start to drop.
The latest demographic to join the fascinating statistics of foreclosures is not the typical subprime borrower with bad credit and worse loans. The demographic that is pushing the foreclosures rates is people with great credit scores and prime mortgages that have lost their unemployment. Tackling this issue will be difference between truly jumpstarting the economy or the dying candle that shines the brightest before fading out.
The mortgage crisis, the larger credit crisis and the economy in recession as a whole have crippled the government’s tax revenue. This makes traditional tax rich popular solutions harder and harder to justify and it may no longer be available for the government in their efforts of re-starting the economy.
Cheaper methods are now being looked at. Tax breaks and other incentives are being considered for companies that increase their payrolls. These might prove effective, however if you are in a position to take advantage of the tax incentives now on offer this might be the time to take advantage while they are still available.
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Related posts:500,0000 Loan Modifications: Nobel Prize Not The Only Target Obama Hits Early
While everybody is deciding if Obama deserves the Peace Nobel prize on effort and good intent or not, another achievement is not receiving half as much attention. This month (October 09) more than 500,000 troubled home loans have joined a trial modification program, the Obama administration announced this Thursday.
Trial loan modifications last around 3 months and are a requisite to qualify for a final loan modification. If the homeowners pay all their mortgage payments on time they qualify for incentive bonuses and the loan modification.
The short term goal was to reach 500,000 by November. The loan modifications must meet certain requirements to qualify for the program. For instance the monthly payments must be reduced to at least 31 percent of the homeowner’s monthly pre-tax income.
Reports show that 16 percent of troubled homeowners, defined as at least 2 months delinquent have qualified for a loan modification.
Even though these figures are promising and Federal officials claim they are on track to meet the long term goal of helping 3 to 4 million borrowers in 3 years it is still early days to claim victory on the credit crisis.
Many experts accuse the program of being a good medicine for the wrong illness. They claim the problem with the American economy is a credit crisis not a mortgage crisis.
The fact the target of loan modifications was reached doesn’t mean it is easy to get one. Among the local success of the loan modification trial program performance among banks varies widely. The government is continuing to name and shame banks that are not fulfilling the expectations set against them. The percentages of eligible loans that are offered a trial modification in the major banks is as follows:
Citigroup: 33 percent
JPMorgan Chase: 27 percent
Wells Fargo : 20 percent
Bank of America: 11 percent.
JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo have increased their percentage heavily while Bank of America remains the worst major bank at providing loan modifications.
The main problem with the program that is causing this variety of success rates among banks is that the loan modification program that encourages banks to make the loan modifications happen has no teeth. If the bank decides not to modify loans they should there is nothing specific the government can do. This of course does not promote banks going overboard when trying to meet their loan modifying targets.
Good news for the economy and homeowners is that U.S Treasury Secretary Timothy Geitner is reported as saying that loan modifications are now running at a faster pace than foreclosure sales. This could be one of the first signs that the worst news in the mortgage industry is already behind us and we can start hoping for better things in the mortgage industry. It is still to early to know but you can always hope.
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