Billion Dollars Archives – Refinance – Mortgage Refinancing Rates And Information

HAMP’s March Loan Modification Report; A Review

April 15th, 2010 No comments

Obama’s Loan Modification programs have been criticized for their lack of results. But what are these results? The March Servicer Performance Report is fresh off the press, so let us have a quick look at what it has to say.

The highlights for HAMP are that more than 230,000 mortgages have been permanently modified. 108,000 loans have been approved by the lender and are simply waiting for the borrower to sign the final papers. That gives us a total 338,000 loans with permanent modifications. The other big newsbyte is that over 1.1 million trial loan modifications are active under the HAMP program. As you all know these trial loan modifications last for three months. If at the end of this period the borrower has provided all the relevant documentation and is up-to-date with his mortgage payments he is given a permanent loan modification. That is, of course, the theory.

According to MHA these loan modifications represent over $3 billion dollars in savings for monthly mortgage payments. The bad news on the report is the number of trial modifications added in the March has dropped to 57,000 from 72,000 in February. The reason for this, according to HAMP’s spin, is that servicers and lenders are requiring upfront documentation before trial modifications start. This has been a bone of contention with critics of the program that see the trial loan modification (without prequalifying the necessary documents) as a way of getting troubled borrowers to pay for three extra months and then deny them the loan modification on the basis of pending paperwork .

The flip side on the reduction of new trial modifications is there has been an increase of 15% in the number of permanent loan modifications approved in March. The story MHA is spinning is that numbers are dropping because of prequalifying filters servicers are introducing. The biggest issue with the Making Home Affordable Program is it doesn’t tackle the real issues of the housing crisis. Interest rate reductions of loans can substantially reduce the cost of a mortgage. A drop of 1% translates into savings $1,500 in most cases. The problem is that high interest mortgages are not the biggest problem any longer. Unemployment is.

MHA understands this and is providing alternatives programs to HAMP that provide specific aid to unemployed homeowners. The latest program for unemployed started this month. It provides loan modifications of mortgage payments to 31% of the unemployed worker’s income for a 3 to 6-month period. The question is will these measures provide real aid to those that need it and not just throw good money at lenders and servicers with little long term benefits for borrowers.

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Treasury Moves The Goal Posts of HAMP and Lowers Expectations for the Loan Modification Program.

March 25th, 2010 No comments

HAMP, the Obama administration foremost measure against the wave of foreclosures triggered by the financial meltdown is not working as planned. What do you do when something does not work as planned? You clarify how it was never designed to work like that anyway, and patiently explain what it really was meant to do.

When HAMP, the Making Homes Affordable Plan started, the Treasury Department claimed it would help as many as four million troubled homeowners. However the revised projections of the program now are that it will only help 1.5 to 2 million borrowers.

Is this a failure for the government? Of course, it depends how you look at it. Treasury’s spin on it is that the 4 million homeowners the program set out to help did not refer to the number of borrowers that would receive a modification but to those that would be offered one, whether they finally got it or not.

Analysts, even some from within TARP (Troubled Assets Relief Program) are skeptical of if simply offering the possibility of a loan modification is a meaningful or even useful goal. It would be like a shelter home setting the goal of preparing 1,000 meals but not necessarily feeding 1000 hungry people.

The HAMP program was launched by Obama’s administration with the goal of lowering the mortgage payments of troubled homeowners by paying lenders to carry out loan modifications on the mortgages of troubled borrowers.

The bill was going to be footed by tapping 50 billion dollars from TARP and 25 billion dollars from Fannie and Freddie, the government controlled mortgage financing juggernauts. However, so far only 200,000 borrowers have a permanent modification and only 31 million dollars have been used from the billion earmarked for the program.

The Treasury has been quick to point out that permanent loan modifications should not be the only measuring stick of success. There are, Treasure claims, other avenues that are being pursued to help troubled homeowners avoid foreclosure. For instance, Treasury is now looking into the use of short sales, where the owner sells the home for less than the balance of the mortgage, as alternatives to foreclosures.

A fairer measurement of success, again according to Treasury, would be to see how many eligible homeowners are helped to avoid foreclosure and “relocate to a more suitable home” without having to undergo the embarrassment and pain of a foreclosure.

I believe most homeowners do not care so much about the embarrassment of foreclosing as the pain of losing their home and having to move. Whether you swallow the spin coming from the Treasury Department or not, there is no doubt the wave of foreclosures that is hitting our economy has no quick fixes. The expectations the HAMP program started with were obviously too optimistic, and a reality check was well overdo. The real question is not if HAMP is reaching its goals or not, but what measures CAN or SHOULD (not always the same thing) be taken now to help the plight of troubled homeowners.

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Underwater Mortgages and the Science of the Perfect Loan Modification

March 4th, 2010 No comments

Loan Modifications have taken over the financial news in the last year. This is not at all surprising, with over 11.3 million people, nearly 25 per cent of all homes, with underwater mortgages; this is an issue that has the nation’s attention.

This makes any research into the issue of loan modifications and their effect on foreclosure of great interest to borrowers, banks, and the government.

One professor whose research has received a lot of attention is Sanjiv Ranjan Das, from the University of Santa Clara in California. Last year Das attacked the underwater issue, this refers to borrowers whose mortgage balances are larger than the market value of their homes. The underwater issue is one of the big problems the United States housing market has to deal with.

Professor Sanjiv Ranjan Das had a large and interested audience to his research; one big fan was his namesake Sanjiv Das, a top executive at CitiMortgage, the fourth biggest bank in the US, lender and servicer of over seven hundred billion dollars in mortgages.

Interestingly, these two men, one a professor and the other a banker, share more than just a name. Not least among the things they have in common is an education at the Indian Institute of Management.

Now they are working together on research that seeks to explain the behavior of borrowers that are stuck with underwater homes, unemployment and mortgage payments they cannot afford.

Interestingly the partnership between the two Das, began when the professor started receiving emails meant for the CitiMortgage Das. However, the accidental emails were great for the research of Santa Clara’s professor.

According to Das’ research the perfect or optimal loan modification includes an element of forgiving some of the balance in the loan. This is not easy for bankers to accept. Reducing the balance of the loan increases the speed at which the bank must accept losses and there is the added fear that it will create a counterproductive culture among borrowers.

However research has shown that re-defaulting on mortgages is much higher among borrowers that do not receive a reduction of their mortgage balance. This is because having an underwater home, a house with negative equity, makes many homeowners feel there is no financial sense in keeping their homes. However, when a principal reduction is carried out, even if only a modest one, re-defaulting on mortgages is sharply reduced.

Nevertheless lenders still shy away from this radical loan modification method and prefer using interest rate reductions and term extensions to reduce the monthly payments of troubled homeowners.

The good news is that the research carried out is getting the attention of the right people. The more is studied about the effects of income shock, or wealth shock, on troubled borrowers the more effective loan modifications and debt management as whole will be.

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Loan Modifications, Servicers and Who Is Profiting From the Credit Crisis

November 4th, 2009 No comments

The news is full of loan modification horror stories describing how homeowners have struggled for months with lost documents, changing standards, unreasonable loan modification agents and the slow tides of bureaucracy. Bad news does always seem to travel faster and further so you don’t hear half as much about the hundreds of thousands of loans that have been successfully modified.

However the question still remains why loan modifications are moving so slowly if the government is willing to pay the bill for the expenses mortgage servicers and investors have to incur when modifying a loan. Recent studies seem to indicate the reason is that the incentives and handouts the government is making through HAMP and TARP just don’t cover the real cost of modifying the fast increasing volume of loan modification applications.

How can this be so when TARP and HOPE have deep pockets of over 75 billion dollars? The answer seems to lay in the mortgage servicers, the companies that collect monthly mortgage payments and then distribute them to the investors that lent the money in the first place. Mortgage servicers have found it is often cheaper to foreclose on homes than to offer a loan modification even though a loan modification would benefit both the borrower and the investor.

The key is not only the rate of return when managing loans and loan modifications but the expenses related to the operations. The assumptions we generally have as consumers is that foreclosures are a bad deal for everyone. Numbers that are thrown around for example are losses of 10 to 20 percent for lenders on short sales while lenders have to face 20 to 30 cents to the dollar when dealing with foreclosures.

These figures only tell part of the story, mortgage servicers have other ways of measuring profit and often have different priorities. A recent report examined foreclosures between 1995 and 2009 and found that loan servicers made more money by offering forbearance (a period of time where the borrower does not have to make payments so he can consolidate his finances) than by cutting principal or reducing rates of interest, which is what loan modifications do.

This means that when deciding between foreclosure and loan modification loan servicers have to choose between certain loss with loan modifications and potential profit if they foreclose the loan. What would you do? Exactly. This is why loan servicers have been dragging their proverbial feet with loan modifications. Of course there are also other issues to consider like public opinion and bad publicity. The government has tried to use this weapon by publishing loan modification leagues that encourage banks to reorganize their systems to increase loan modifications.

So what is the solution? No easy fixes obviously or they would have already been implemented. However the administration could enforce stricter rules that regulate foreclosure and make loan modifications more attractive like regulating loan originations, mandate loan modifications before foreclosure or have third party loan modification mediation programs that control what mortgage providers do.
The best thing you can do now if you are at risk of foreclosure or behind in your payments is to contact the HOPE program by visiting their website or calling 1-888-995-HOPE.

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Loan Delinquencies Fall As Banks Get Serious With Loan Modifications

October 16th, 2009 No comments

Last week’s big news in loan modifications was that HAMP, Obama’s administration’s program to get troubled (i.e. 60 days behind their payments) loans back in line with “aggressive” modifications made its first target of 50,000 trial loans before November. That is what the government hoped anyway.

The big news this week could be that foreclosures seem to be slowing down as well as loan delinquencies fall from peak. That is an interesting way of saying that things aren’t as bad as when they were at their worst. But, hey, when you are in a world credit crisis you have to make the most of good news.

Why are things getting better? Is the Government’s program proving its worth?

You will get a whole lot of opinions on that. Let’s try and hang on to a few important facts to get some perspective on the whole issue.

- A target few thought possible was achieved through sweat, blood and tears.

- Foreclosures are no longer only coming from subprime mortgages that need the help of HAMP to lower interest rates but are increasingly coming from prime mortgages with good interest rates. This is because the current crisis is not only a mortgage interest crisis but a credit crisis. People have over borrowed not only on their homes but on their cars, their credit cards and when they lose their high paying jobs they are in trouble and of course mortgage payments are right at the top of the loans they are trying to pay back.

- Banks are starting to work hard to meet the targets set by the administration. One example is the First Federal Bank of California a subsidiary of FirstFed Financial Corp has modified more than 1.4 billion dollars worth of home mortgages, averting 3,000 mortgages from foreclosure. In fact this relatively small local bank is doing very well when compared to banks nationally. The great results in loan modifications at First Federal Bank of California are strongly linked to good results in other related areas like loan delinquencies which have also declined significantly from previous peak levels. For instance loans that were 30 to 59 days behind payments were 55 percent lower than in January.

How did First Federal Bank of California pull this off?

I don’t know. They will happily say it is there interest in their client’s real needs that allow them to provide realistic modifications to their loans which provides sustainable loan payments for borrowers. What can’t be argued is that this bank is meeting and exceeding government’s expectations.

One of the factors that might be contributing towards this is that smaller banks can modify and fine tune their management faster and more efficiently. Smaller can be better in business and banks have complained about the difficulty of changing the cogs of their corporations to provide fast loan modifications.

What is amazing is that after 6 months we know the government is on target (at least their first target) but we’re not sure if it is aiming for the right target, subprime mortgages.

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Loan Modifications, Hope, Lies and Misinformation

September 17th, 2009 No comments

Many believe that the only way to get out of an economic crisis is to buy yourself out of it. To spend enough to jumpstart the economy again. Loan Modifications are one of the tools the Government are using to get homeowners out of the whole they dug for themselves before they bury the whole economy with them.
Such is the determination and commitment the government has to this project they have earmarked 75 billion dollars to stimulate loan modifications on qualifying mortgages. That is the Hope anyway. The Hope is that changing the mortgages, reducing monthly payments, extending tenures, providing bonuses to borrowers as well as lenders and dropping interest rates will buy America’s homeowners out of the credit crisis.
Sadly it could seem that Hope, empty hope is all there is to this program. One of the foundations of the program is the assumption that banks will make an effort to create loan modifications for homeowners that are at risk of losing their homes. This is done by providing incentives to banks and homeowners to agree to sustainable loan modification. However the problem is that banks only have to “put forth an effort” and provide basic statistics in order to receive the stimulus. They are obliged to provide statistics on how many homeowners they’ve contacted but in no way forced to approve any loan modifications or even stop foreclosures while a loan modification is arranged.
Even if a loan modification is approved there is no assurance that it will be beneficial or even worthwhile for the homeowners. The cost of getting the loan modification can be so expensive and the monthly payment reduction so low it is not worthwhile to go through. One borrower is reported to have spent nearly $10,000 for a loan modification that only reduced the monthly payment by $25. To add insult to injury this outrageous waste of money will probably end up being a statistic that is used to show how generous and helpful banks are being.
After all is said and done the loan modification program is progressing very slowly. The number of loan modifications is around 200,000 while 9 million home loans are at risk to foreclose by next year.
Because there is no requirement for banks to make a real effort on loan modifications that are not profitable for them, the question remains if it is reasonable for us to expect banks to invest in providing loan modifications that are going to cost them money, money they are not likely to see turn any profit.
A more creative approach is needed to find a real solution to the credit crisis. Loan modifications on their own do not seem to the answer. The Hope Mortgage Program is actually only geared for homeowners that can still deal with a mortgage at a reduced rate. Those worst off cannot expect any help from the government.

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