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Obama’s mortgage mod plan is still lacking
22% of private mortgage mods redefault
$3 billion more for jobless homeowners
400,000 receive mortgage mods
Borrowers flunk out of mortgage mods
Banker’s Choose not to Swallow Obama’s Loan Modification Bitter Pill
Exceptional times call for exceptional measures. That was the reasoning behind the bailout of the big banks and insurance companies. We had to swallow the bitter pill of using taxpayers money to bail out corporate America. It was after all in the interest of the American economy. However, this reasoning does not seem to apply to loan modifications.
Obama’s loan modification revamp includes cutting the principal balance of millions of mortgages in the United States. These cuts are aimed at chipping away at the negative equity of underwater mortgages. These mortgages are worth more than the market value of the houses they are paying for, and are the main force behind the rising number of foreclosures.
Obama’s administration is talking to the leaders of the top banks and servicers and telling them they need to cut back on the principal balance of underwater mortgages. Although banks like BoA, Citigroup, Well Fargo, and J.P Morgan Chase accept the need of reducing the principal balance in some situations they will not accept it as a generic measure for all underwater mortgages.
This is not a surprise because the measures suggested by the government would be very expensive. Currently there are over 11 million underwater mortgages. Cutting back the balance of these mortgages to their current value would cost the American taxpayer $700 billion to $900 billion according to the CEO of Morgan Chase Home Lending, not to mention what it would cost banks. Let us not forget that Fannie and Freddie, the government chartered and sponsored leader of the secondary mortgage market, would also have to absorb a chunk of the losses that could amount to up to $150 billion.
Not surprisingly banks do not think this would be responsible or even beneficial for homeowners. In fact Morgan’s CEO is also quoted as saying: “such programs could be potentially very harmful to consumers, investors and future market conditions”. It is nice to have the banking community taking an interest in the consumer’s interest. I guess the $700 billion bank bailout was in the consumer’s interest, so it was money well spent.
This is not to say that big banks are not willing to provide principal balance cuts on principal. Bank of America has famously promised to offer balance cuts to 45,000 homeowners that are in serious financial difficulties, with subprime loans and seriously underwater. Banks are apparently scared of creating a default avalanche if consumers get wind of the possibility of reducing their mortgage balances by thousands of dollars if they default on their mortgage payments.
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10 foreclosures for every home saved
Loan Modifications Update: The Spin and the Truth
Loan Modifications are going through an interesting stage. Enormous efforts are being made to save homes from foreclosure, and while some results seem to be made, millions are still heading straight to a foreclosure. The government has increased the pressure on loan servicers and lender, and relaxed the requirements for a HAMP modification. What have been the results? Is there any good news to share? This short article will look into the good news, and the bad, of loan modifications at the end of March 2010, and try and separate the spin (a.k.a propaganda) from the real news.
The Spin: There has been a 45% increase in the number of permanent loan modifications in February 2010, according to HAMP.
The Truth: The total number of permanent loan modifications is still only around 170,000 loan modifications.
The Spin: Homeowners that receive a loan modification will enjoy much lower mortgage payments because they are granted a fixed 2% interest rate for five years.
The Truth: This is true, payments can be lower for borrowers that receive a modification. Unfortunately there are still more than 830,000 homeowners that are awaiting a decision on their temporary loan modification, and are languishing in loan modification limbo.
The Spin: The figures look worse than they are because there are over 91,000 troubled borrowers that have been approved for a permanent modification, but has not signed the final paperwork yet.
The Truth: Granted, however there were also 90,000 trial loan mods cancelled.
The Spin: More than 1.35 million trial loan mods have been extended, which includes over a million HAMP modifications.
The Truth: The vast majority of these mods are trial loan modifications, and in any case, only represent a 35% of the troubled homeowners the Obama administration predicted the plan would help. It must also be noted that half a million of these troubled homeowners could easily lose their trial modifications. A even more worrying fact is that more than half a million of borrowers on a trial modification have already made the three monthly payments. Why? Apparently many will not receive the permanent modification because lenders have finally decided their income is too high, or too low, to justify a modification. The benchmark for qualifying, or not, is set in such a way that having just a few hundred dollars more or less in your banking account can make the difference between approval or denial.
This had created in many the feeling that trial loans are often just a way for banks to squeeze a few months mortgage payments out borrowers that either had no hope of qualifying or the bank feels they are hopeless cases that will most likely re-default whatever measures are taken.
In conclusion, and to be fair, there has been some progress in the last months. However, this is too little, too late for most homeowners. However, a new problem now arises. Now a new wave of unemployed troubled homeowners with prime mortgages is hitting the housing crisis shore. It is unclear what solution loan modifications can provide when the mortgage already has low interest rates and a long tenure.
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